Monday, November 11, 2013

The Big NBA Season Preview (10-1)

I know it took 2 weeks to get through the season preview but here is the last part, the cream of the crop, the top 10. Once again rankings are based on thoughts prior to the season beginning (top 3 teams actually written prior to the season beginning, sorry?). Once again feel free to skip the words if you don't want to read it all. Enjoy the hyperlinks. Enjoy the trades.

10. Memphis Grizzlies

Goal: Same roster, new coach, new style? Hopefully better results? Eh...

Intrigue: The Grit & Grind - If you don't like defensive, slow-paced, grind-it-out basketball, then don't watch the Grizzlies. If you do, then you're in luck, and if you do, then you understand how that makes this team successful albeit the reason they may not be very entertaining. Although they have a new coach, and he wants to make the team play more uptempo, they're not fooling anyone. They are who we thought they were. Their identity was established 3 years ago as a grind it out team, and as long as their core remains in tact, their success will continue to be predicated on aggressive team defense, Gasol high-post action, Z-Bo on the block, surrounding those bigs with perimeter shooters, and allowing Conley to take care of whatever else is necessary. It may not be the most entertaining basketball to watch and they are starting to look like Spurs lite, and come playoff time they're the type of team no one wants to play. 

Player to Watch: Mike Conley - Ever since the Rudy Gay trade the team lost a perimeter player with the ability to make the offense go (statistical analysis geeks will say it was for the better but...) without running a set and be a threat on the perimeter through isolation (not saying it was efficient but...) in crunch time (not saying Z-Bo or Gasol on the block aren't good options in the clutch but...). Conley has the ability to be that guy (as seen in the playoffs last year) and will have to be (so far the numbers look good minus passing) if this team expects continued success with the same roster and no future moves made.

Trade to Consider:  
(MEM) - Carmelo Anthony, Spencer Hawes, Jason Richardson
(NYK) - Eric Gordon, Ty Lawson, Danilo Gallinari, Kenneth Faried, Timofey Mozgov
(DEN) - Thaddeus Young, Ryan Anderson, Iman Shumpert, Raymond Felton, Kosta Koufus, Tayshaun Prince, Philly's 2nd round pick [via Mem]
(NO) - Zach Randolph, Lavoy Allen, Randy Foye
(PHI) - Amar'e Stoudemire, Jerryd Bayless, Mike Miller, 1st round pick via Mem
*Logic - Whew! That one took awhile to cook up. I'm not sure if five-team trades are possible, but if they are, here you go. Where to begin? The return Memphis gives up to get Melo may be/would be worth it come May/June when they're fighting to be in/win the NBA Finals. Their bench would need some retooling, but a starting lineup of Conley, Tony Allen, Melo, Hawes/Ed Davis/Pondexter, and Gasol would be quite scary and place them in consideration for best in the West. Melo gives this team that perimeter scorer (and even low post scoring lost from Z-Bo) I mentioned they lack that can and will takeover late in games; his poor defense would be covered on the perimeter by Allen and Conley, and on the inside by DPOY Gasol. He also brings them lineup flexibility which allows them change of pace. They can play him at the 3 or 4 with Hawes, Ed Davis, Pondexter, or J-Rich. This would be really exciting if it happened and Grizz fans should be salivating even if it meant a half-year rental (Melo is not signing long term to play in Memphis, let's be honest.) for a realistic chance to win it all.
New York gets to look like the pre-Melo days and their haul of players would make them look like George Karl's Nuggets East (Gallo & Mozgov are back!). New Orleans gets a Z-Bo/Brow combo up front and Foye, Austin Rivers, and Anthony Morrow will have to make up for the shooting lost from EG. Denver gets a ton of serviceable players with good value (except for Tayshaun) that they can keep or trade in other deals. Philly can buy out STAT to fill their cap minimum or give him an opportunity to play into his old form without pressure to perform well. Bayless can run on this team with Carter-Williams, and Mike Miller can enjoy his vacation season (it's fine he's won 2 the last 2 years he'll fine a contender to play for next year) or be bought out.       

Where They'll Be Come June: If no moves are made, actually out of the playoffs in the 1st round and in much need of a roster change in the offseason.

9. Brooklyn Nets

Goal: Win NOW.

Intrigue: The 5 Year Plan (Er...2 year?) -The new "Big 4" really only has this year to make it all work. Kevin Garnett is on his last fumes and I really don't know how many more years Paul Pierce can pull off the trick Anson into thinking this is the year he actually is slow and fat and unable to get buckets anymore but in actuality he's in game shape and still a PTPer (Dicky V reference has been made...stop me now.) routine. At some point a big decline has to come right?? He's 36 and we all know his conditioning is nothing compared to Kobe's! Mix the age issues with Joe Johnson only getting worse, D-Will possibly already having peaked in his career, and no prospects moving forward; barring an astronomical improvement all-around by Brook Lopez, this team is absolutely screwed after next season, maybe even this season. That means Mr. Prokhorov has to keep pulling out all the stops (we didn't forget about you Kirilenko ) to win this year or all this excessive spending will go to waste.

Player to Watch: Kevin Garnett - He's going to be very important defensively for this team, but his play on the court is also going to be just as important as his influence on the rest of his teammates especially his fellow bigs. Can he teach Brook Lopez aggression (not Reggie Evan's style, but better rebounding and m̶o̶v̶i̶n̶g̶  screens) and better low-post defense? Can he teach Andray Blatche maturity? These are important factors in getting this team where they want to be.

Trade to Consider: There's no way they're going to be able to trade any of these guys (maybe D-Will but not happening) nor do they have enticing players or cap space to really make anymore moves (They owe $30,457,433 in tax money!! That's Jerome James and Rashard Lewis contract money combined there.) Here's a little trade though: 
(BKN) - Channing Frye 
(PHX) - Matt Bonner, Mason Plumlee, Tyshawn Taylor (SAS) - Mirza Teletovic
 *Logic - Frye can be paired with either KG or Lopez in the frontcourt and spaces the floor giving them another long range threat besides Terry. Phoenix gets Bonner to replace Frye's big man shooting and two pairs of brothers in Phoenix =O Popovich will turn Teletovic into a weapon somehow...

Where They'll Be Come June: Unfortunately moving the old Celtics to Brooklyn does not mean LeBron James left Miami (yet?)...Prokhorov will have to find another way to win a championship and it's not by taking on expensive contracts on players on their last hurrahs. 

8. Houston Rockets

Goal: To win the whole damn thing and prove to the common basketball fan, statistical analysis reigns supreme.

Intrigue: Chapter 3 of the Dwightmare - Actually it won't be a nightmare. I think D-12 fits this team very well and as the season progresses and he builds more chemistry with Harden and Parsons, he will look like his old self especially now that he's healthy. We saw how dangerous this team was on offense last year without a low-post scorer and if Howard can become a monster inside, this offense may be unguardable (so far it's looking ok). Howard and Asik also make for a very intimidating post-presence on defense.

Player to Watch: Patrick Beverly - Ah you wanted Jeremy Lin, huh? Sorry but as Kevin McHale has decided to go with Beverly over Lin as the starting point guard of the team, I'm actually fine with that. When their star shooting guard plays defense like this, they need a complimentary backcourt mate that will hound the opponent's ball-handler making passes more difficult to be made for wide open 2-guards coming off screens due to Harden's laziness. Beverly is an energy guy that may not fill the stat sheet, but he plays hard, he's very fast on the break, and he doesn't need to have the ball in his hands at all-times to succeed (not the case for Lin = excellent 6th man when Harden is out).

Trade to Consider: (HOU) - LaMarcus Aldridge, Kyle Lowry, Steve Novak
(POR) - Omer Asik, Terrence Jones, Amir Johnson, 1st round pick [via Hou]
(TOR) - Jeremy Lin, Donatas Motiejunas, Thomas Robinson, Omri Casspi
*Logic - This makes the Rockets the favorites to win it all. Does it not??...and nobody is actually getting jipped too hard in this deal. For years I have underestimated Lowry, but he's a good player that can give you a bit of everything. He's an upgrade over Lin and Beverly, and would thrive on this roster. Novak would get so many open threes. Most importantly pairing Aldridge with D-12 would be a high-low offensive wet dream and screams nightly combined stat lines of 45-30 (being points and rebounds).
Portland would get a new frontcourt duo of Asik and Johnson which isn't bad at all. Mix T-Jones (Potential!) with a late-first round pick and it's not a very bad return. It's acceptable.
Toronto for their cooperation gets Lin who will sell plenty of tickets to the heavily-Asian populated city (largest ethnic group of 33%) and he gets to reunite with his good-old buddy Landry. They also get T-Rob (potential!), Casspi will replace Novak's shooting, and Montiejunas gets to play with his fellow countryman Valanciunas! I love this deal. Daryl Morey read this blog! I just put the finishing touches to your master plan. You're welcome.

Where They'll Be Come June: This is the time where I want to remove this section for the top 5 teams in the West because I really can't predict the favorite. It really does depend on the matchups come playoff time and the moves these teams make. For the Rockets if they can add someone like Aldridge and maybe a more veteran point guard then they become my favorites in the West. For now, they're not good enough to beat the other four teams ahead of them in a seven-game series.

7. Golden State Warriors

Goal: Put their foot in the door of the Western elites and let everyone know they'll be there for years to come.
 
Intrigue: Winning Big with Style - They'll be one of the most fun teams to watch this year, and they'll be successful too. Will that flashy play work and equate to success come playoff time?

Player to Watch: Andre Iguodala - You've already seen the passing, the surprise three point shooting, the great defense, etc. Iggy has been great in the young season and I believe on this team, he will finally get recognition for being the player he is and was meant to be (Iggy has never been evaluated properly due to expectations greater than what he's capable of - Philly = overrated cause he had to be a superstar, do-everything player; or overlooked - Denver = underrated cause there were too many other players getting recognition while he covered the holes of each of his teammates' games on offense and defense). On this team he can play free, his way, and be recognized for it. Second to Stephen Curry (possibly Bogut's health to anchor the D, so maybe third?) Iggy is the most important player on the team. He can do everything and do it on a high level. His offense will show when needed, but his defensive presence will be most important towards the team's success. He can become a hybrid of young Shawn Marion and LeBron James lite and that would be sweet. 

Trade to Consider: (GSW) - Marc Gasol, Ramon Sessions, Jeff Taylor, Anthony Tolliver
(MEM) - Andrew Bogut, Harrison Barnes, Ognjen Kuzmic, Andrea Bargnani
(NYK) - Tayshaun Prince, Bismack Biyombo
(CHA) - Ed Davis, Jerryd Bayless, Pablo Prigioni, Festus Ezeli, Philly's 2nd round pick [via Mem]
*Logic - The Dubs get the 2nd best center (most-skilled center) in the league and if you like the way the team has been moving the rock, Gasol would make passing more fun to watch than it already is. Not only that, he would bring the same defense (hello last year's DPOY) Bogut gives, and most importantly, he adds a versatile offensive game where he can kill you on either the high post or low post. Sessions can be J-Jack 2.0 (hopefully without the ball-hogging), Jeff Taylor I LIKE (Harry Barnes replacement though...), and Tolliver with Speights can shoot their hearts out. If Gasol were on the team, they would become one of the most complete teams in the league, maybe the most complete team in the league lacking few weaknesses (Passing: the whole team except for SPEIGHTS, check! outside scoring: Klay, Steph, T-Dougie, SPEIGHTS? check! Inside scoring: Gasol, Lee, SPEIGHTS? check! Rebounding: Gasol, Lee, Iggy, JO, etc, check! Highlight-Reel Athleticism: Iggy, Jeff Taylor, check! Defense: Gasol, Iggy, Klay, Bazemore, check! You get the picture, SCARY GOOD.) They could be considered legitimate championship favorites.
Memphis still looks solid as Bogut provides the poor man services of Gasol. Barnes is the prize haul for the team (hard for Dubs to give him up with all his upside) and a HUGE upgrade over Tayshaun or Pondexter. He'll get a chance to be there go-to perimeter scorer. Lastly Bargnani allows the Grizz lineup flexibility (Bogut, Z-Bo, Bargs, Barnes & Conley would be a realistic big lineup that can work) as an expensive 6th man.
The Knicks get Tayshaun who is cheaper than Bargs and Biyombo to back up Chandler. The Bobcats get the pu pu platter special of decent role players (Bayless, Prigioni) and potential (Ed Davis, Ezeli eh... & draft pick).

Where They'll Be Come June: Once again eliminated in the Conference semis but this time around it will not be seem like a fluke or luck. Bob Myers will make the right decisions moving forward (Possibly dealing D-Lee? Barnes?) as the team continues to build a higher reputation amongst the league and fans so San Francisco (hopefully!) becomes known as a basketball city in 2017.

6. Chicago Bulls

Goal: Return to being the King's biggest potential foil (Eh...Paul George and gang may beg to differ).


Intrigue/Player to Watch: (The Return of) Derrick Rose - Now that we've gotten a small sample size, we know he's a little rusty and not up to game-speed yet, but the rare athleticism and speed are still there, which is a great sign. It will take time for him to get going (which is why I wished he returned late last season, but then again if he wasn't ready he wasn't ready. His future health was top priority.) and I would not be worried about him returning to his old form, but questions still do remain. Patience is necessary, but it will be hard especially when the Bulls offense has been putrid early on, and having lost the last two seasons at a chance to win a title due to the injury, fans may be too eager and impatient to wait for D-Rose and the rest of the team to play to their true capabilities which we may not see until all-star break or later. We saw this team play very well without him last year, and when/if Rose returns to form who knows how far he can take this team. He's that great of a player to carry them all the way to the Finals, but he has to be healthy, and he will have to be even better than he was before the injury (new offensive help in the form of a trade would greatly help as well) if they stand a chance.

Trade to Consider: (CHI) - Eric Gordon, Ryan Anderson, Greg Stiemsma, Courtney Lee
(NO) - Carlos Boozer, Kirk Hinrich Jeff Green, Brandon Bass
(BOS) - Luol Deng, Austin Rivers, Brian Roberts
*Logic - Chicago gets the scoring they desperately need by adding EG as D-Rose's sidekick and Anderson as their 6th man supreme. Both guys would thrive off the open looks Rose would give them. Lee is a very serviceable role player and Stiemsma on the team almost screams hard foul on LeBron come playoff time leading to an ejection! This trade is made possible because the Bulls have guys ready to replace Deng and Boozer (Butler & Taj Gibson), so why not use their best trade assets other than Noah and get guys that would fit what they need.
New Orleans becomes full of depth in the frontcourt, Tyreke is allowed to be the starter he's getting paid to be (his contract is not 6th man money...), and they get a good backup point guard in Hinrich. Also exchanging Anderson's 3 years for a more expensive Boozer at 2 years is reasonable. Jeff Green and Bass even out Gordon's contract.
Boston gets to remain competitive I guess...for Bill Simmons' sake by adding Deng, but also his contract will be off the books at the end of the year = more cap space! And it's a year too late but Austin Rivers is a Celtic! Great.

Where They'll Be Come June: Out of the playoffs thanks to the other team in the conference/division that has emerged in the last few years to overtake their place as biggest threat to the champs in the East. Hopefully they will have received some future assets for Deng's expiring or traded away Boozer's bad contract for better pieces built for a title run (this year and next).

5. Oklahoma City Thunder

Goal: To prove they aren't old news and get back to the Finals with a healthy Westbrook for the playoffs.


Intrigue: Becoming the Sleeper in a Loaded Western Conference - In two years, the Thunder have gone from the darlings of the league to the most overlooked team in the league (at least in my opinion). Everyone is talking about the upside of Doc and the Clips, D-12 and the Rockets, Iggy and the Warriors, and Pop and his Spurs. Yet people tend to speak of how the Thunder are on the downside compared to those other teams. That's where people forget how good the Thunder actually were before Russell Westbrook's injury in the playoffs (1st in the West, would have swept the Rockets, and beat the Grizzlies, and would have had an epic series against the Spurs, possibly losing to the Heat in the Finals again). With a healthy Russ (For all the haters, I hope they see just how important he is to KD and the entire team) everyone can play the roles they are good at and not have to do much more (*cough Serge Ibaka). The only concern will be bench production, but I think those young guys will only get better as the season progresses, and Kendrick Perkins...shit. 

Player to Watch: Jeremy Lamb - It's time. It really is unfair for him, but in his second season and first with playing time, he (and Steve Adams!) is going to have to prove at least a little bit, for the Thunder and the rest of the league, that the Harden deal was not a complete robbery on the Rocket's part. He gets Kevin Martin's 6th man role and the Thunder are definitely hoping he will be that third scorer they desperately need (that should never have been an issue...I just teared a bit).

Trade to Consider: (OKC) - Arron Afflalo, Patty Mills
(ORL) - Reggie Jackson, Matt Bonner, Ryan Gomes
(SAS) - Thabo Sefolosha, Hasheem Thabeet
*Logic - It's a small trade but would be huge for the Thunder if it happened. Afflolo is one of the most underrated shooting guards in the league and he can play both ends of the floor very well. Unlike Sefolosha who becomes a liability down the stretch due to his lack of offense (especially the inability to hit the open shots Russ and KD will create when the defense crashes on them in the paint) Afflalo can make open shots and create his own. He's also just as good of a defender as Sefolosha, and the Thunder will be able to play him 40 minutes in the playoffs without worrying if he can provide any type of offense which makes that whole issue of finding a 6th man like Harden a little more irrelevant (Nothing will ever make up for his loss, unless Lamb and Adams both become future all-stars. BOTH OF THEM). Patty Mills also has the ability to light it up.
Orlando can then trade Jameer away to a contender in need of point guard help for nothing, and experiment a starting backcourt of Jackson and Oladipo while Bonner and Gomes are off the books after the season.
The Spurs get a backup shooting guard that will be better than Belinelli. Under Pop by some magic, Sefolosha will become a dead-eye shooter and become the new Bruce Bowen or Ime Udoka. Also Pop will transform Thabeet into a blocking-dunking machine off the bench that will learn the art of the bank shot thanks to Timmy. Damn.  


Where They'll Be Come June: After winning his first MVP, KD and company will fall short in the NBA Finals. However what was once considered a trade gone terribly one-sided, Adams and Lamb gain a ton of experience in big moments and prove ready to be a big-part of their future. Add 2 first round picks for next year and hopefully Perkins finally amnestied! The Thunder will once again be back on top of the Western Conference and KD will hopefully win his first one next year.

4. San Antonio Spurs 

Goal: To overcome the devastation of being 30 seconds away from winning it all and watching it slip away - Which is a big deal and tough for almost any team to come back from, but I think for the Spurs, not as difficult as we think it would be. At the time it was devastating to see Ray hit the three in Game 6 and watch Timmy miss that easy bunny he would make 99 out of 100 times in Game 7, preventing a 5th championship in the Duncan-Pop era. It was really unfortunate because they also deserved to be a champion last year and were so close. However, when I think about this team's demeanor and where they should be with their best players already past their prime, which was considered 4-5 years ago, they've been playing with house money the last few years. They won't hang their heads about it coming into this season (so far 6-1). This team was written off as a contender in the West a couple years ago (at least by me 5 years ago - season before Blake Griffin was in the draft, Timmy had the chronic knee tendinitis, perfect year to throw away the season to rebuild with young Blake and aging Duncan a la young Duncan aging Robinson) and they continue to keep winning when there really isn't anything else their core needs to prove. Whether or not Tim won one last year or wins another one moving forward, it will not change his legacy as the greatest power forward to ever play the game (only adds more to his epic career), Tony Parker is a hall of famer and so is Ginobili. Pop is a hall of fame coach. A top 5 coach of all-time. So the Spurs really have nothing to lose and everything to gain moving forward. They will not be traumatized by the way last season ended. They'll be back possibly even better than last year.


Intrigue: The Formula - It's worked since '99 and until Timmy retires or Pop is no longer the coach providing these interviews, it will continue to work. They'll finish in the top 3 of the West (50 wins or more as usual), play masterful basketball that is unappreciated with a roster that is 12-deep, and do it under the radar while critics continue to say they're too old until May comes around and everyone is wrong again. It happens every year and Tim, Tony, and Manu, and now Kawhi will remind those teams with all the flashy new stars they still have to go through San Antonio if they want to win the West.

Player to Watch: Kawhi Leonard - YEAR 3 ALERT! The heir to Duncan's throne, Leonard is expected to become the bright star of this team following his great playoff performance last year. He'll have a couple more years to get a lot better before the team is his, and he will only improve. The future is bright for the Spurs. They're in good hands (Hehehehe.) 

Trade to Consider: Sorry, but I've written enough about this team.The Spurs are not trading any of their main pieces and what do you get for a Diaw? Bonner? Splitter recently re-signed but would be the most movable player but what can they get in return? The Spurs rarely make big trades during the season and this season should not be an exception.

Where They'll Be Come June: Losing in the Conference Finals in 7 to KD and crew after posting the best regular season record. The beginning to the end of an era is near as Manu Ginobili retires with Tim Duncan's possibly following a season later. The Spurs must begin minor rebuilding in the summer, starting with a solid draft of Kyle Anderson and James McAdoo who will be much better pros in the NB...ok I'll stop with all the prophesizing.   

3. Los Angeles Clippers

Goal: LA supremacy (this matters a lot to them, I swear), Western Conference supremacy

Intrigue: How does this team play with coaching competence now? Del Negro as their coach meant any good coach replacing him would have made them a lot better but they got a top 5 coach in the league instead? Oh me oh my!

Player to Watch: Blake Griffin - I watched one preseason game this year and it was actually a competitive game between the Clips and the Nuggets. Who was the best player that night? Chris Paul. He was AMAZING (40-7-11 IN A PRESEASON GAME). With Doc Rivers at the helm he could win an MVP and he not the point guard in Chicago will be the All-NBA 1st team point guard this year. I truly believe so. That's great for the Clippers but that's besides the point because anyone who watches the game knows CP3 doesn't need a great coach to be great, he'll always be great and make his teammates better (and piss them off?), but what Doc Rivers will do is make the other guys better especially Blake without having to seem like a dick about it because it's his job to coach and critique players.Blake's been babied (acts like a baby?) and praised too much his entire career because of his athletic abilities, but if you look at his career and numbers they've declined each year which should not happen for someone with this much God-given talent. His post game is terrible, his shot looks terrible, and although he plays hard he is way too reckless. Which brings me to Blake just receiving good coaching. What I took away the most from the preseason game was actually not CP3's performance, but rather the interaction Blake had on the bench with Doc. With Del Negro he never had the balls to tell CP3 to shut it or to tell Blake how he should play the game. Doc and his staff will coach Blake, they will make him better not just on offense but especially on defense with his buddy DeAndre. Just having a coach that can coach will not only make Blake a human highlight-reel but a player deserving of recognition for being the great basketball player he should be. Oh and CP3 won't be on his ass all time.  

Trade to Consider:  
#1 - (LAC): Kendrick Perkins, Jeremy Lamb
(OKC): Jamal Crawford, Willie Green, Ryan Hollins, Maalik Wayns

#2 - (LAC): Jeff Green, Ekpe Udoh
(BOS): DeAndre Jordan, Caron Butler, Aaron Gray
(TOR): Kris Humphries, Brandon Knight, Ersan Ilyasova, Future 1st Round pick from BOS via BKN [2016]
(MIL): DeMar DeRozan, Amir Johnson, Courtney Lee

*Logic - Doc Rivers gets two centers, one he already loves, that plays defense and they get the potential upside of Jeremy Lamb while Jeff Green allows the team to move JJ Redick or Jared Dudley into a 6th man role vacated by Crawford. DeAndre has been great early in the year (or at least the numbers say so) but having Perkins and Udoh at center makes them a better defensive team inside, and Green's ability to score on the wing is much needed on this team (no one can get their own shot off but CP3 & Crawford currently).
For the Thunder they get the 6th man scorer/instant offense they need in Crawford and the rest of the guys will be sitting on the end of the bench or in street clothes most nights.
Boston finally gets DeAndre Jordan who could be a terror on the break with Rondo when healthy, and Caron Butler will play hard for them and expire at the end of the season.
Toronto and Milwaukee pretty much exchange a bunch of players with each other that won't make them much better or worse.   

Where They'll Be Come June: If all the pieces fit and Doc does his best to coach these guys, they can be the best team in the West and playing in the Finals come June. Chris Paul is great enough to get them deep in the playoffs but the leap needed from Blake Griffin will put them over the top. I believe he can do it, and that's why I had them as the best in the West (just not predicted to win the West however...) to start the year. If Blake remains old Blake, then this team will continue to be a conference semis contender and nothing further.

2. Indiana Pacers 

Goal: To prove last year was not a fluke and make the NBA Finals.

Intrigue: Why people are sleeping on them?? Paul George moving into the tier of super stardom. - This was written prior to the season starting so people aren't sleeping on them anymore, but a lot of people cannot deny they had the Bulls and Nets ahead of them when the year began. It has not surprised me that the Pacers have gotten off to this great start and Paul George is indeed a superstar now.

Player to Watch: Danny Granger - If he isn't a me-first/shoot-first player like he was before his injury he can be valuable with his scoring ability. He can also space the floor for George with his range. If he doesn't fit the team he can be a trade piece for a team tanking and in need of an expiring contract. & Roy Hibbert - Yes that is Tim Duncan in the picture looking very miniscule. For a guy who was considered too slow and a potential bust coming out of the draft, he's only gotten better every season and he's also busted his butt to be in great shape (look at that picture again!) He has a great mid-range jimmy, an assortment of post moves, and his defense is excellent, and I expect him to be the compliment Yao was never healthy enough to be for McGrady a la Paul George now.

Trade to Consider: *RONDO TRADE ALERT*  
(IND) - Rajon Rondo, Courtney Lee (+2 wins) 
(BOS) - Danny Granger, Boris Diaw, Matt Bonner, Patty Mills, Aron Baynes, 1st round pick via SAS (-9 wins) 
(SAS) - George Hill, Brandon Bass (+1 wins) 
*Logic  - The Pacers get a big-name shot creator for a team that lacks a legitimate ball-handling playmaker (Paul George cannot be depended on to create/be the offense all the time). The Spurs get really good depth for giving up nothing and the C's clear cap space, lose more, and get a 1st round pick.
This trade may not actually benefit the Pacers however because Hill actually fits the Pacers well and the trade costs them one more shooter they desperately need (Granger). Also the Celtics don't receive a young prospect in addition to the pick so I'm not sure they would get the value they want for Rondo.

Where They'll Be Come June: Stuck in Memphis Grizzlies territory, very good and always a contender but never good enough to win it all. Don't get me wrong. I love love LOVE the Pacers. They're a take no shit from no one-confident basketball team with the talent and grit to back it up. They also have an alpha dog! Perfect compliments for him and on a paper a much-improved bench (A̶l̶d̶o̶u̶s̶ ̶S̶n̶o̶w̶!̶ , Luis Scola, CJ Watson, & either Born Ready or Granger). I think they can beat any team in this league on any given day and in any series... Except for seven games against the Heat.

1. Miami Heat

Goal: The quest for not 1 not 2 but 3 championships, a dynasty...and making it impossible (Then again it is LeBron yall so anything is possible. It really isn't that bad of an idea because Bosh and Wade are only getting older and aren't there greener pastures with better compliments somewhere else for LeBron to play with for the future?) for LeBron to leave (3-peating makes it almost impossible to leave, unless you have a gambling problem er...go on a baseball sabatical...) .

Intrigue: LeBron only getting better, D Wade proving all the doubters wrong & of course more Chris Bosh GIFs!

Player to Watch: Greg Oden - No it's not B-Easy. I'm tired of him now. Let's talk about the hopes of a feel good story instead. Did you see how yolked Oden looked in that video?? Besides that, the patience, the power, and the ferociousness in the move and the dunk?? It was awesome granted he was on a much smaller player, but It's the type of thing I dream Dwight Howard would do every time he gets in the post on a mismatch. I can write more about about his injuries and what not but that's been talked about enough. All I hope for is a healthy 65 games from the big man and just 75% of the Greg Oden we were all supposed to be blessed with by the basketball gods, please?? If that is given, the Heat may have found themselves a potential starting center to make that defense better than it already is and maybe that player championship teams need to bring the hunger to win again, but let's not get ahead of ourselves, Oden being a rotation guy by any means and staying healthy is what we're watching and hoping for.  

Trade to Consider: I apologize but no trades here. I really can't think of anyone they would or can trade on this roster with value besides the Big 3. Chalmers, Battier, and Haslem have trade value but I don't think the Heat can give those guys up. Most likely they will grab a mid-season buyout.

Where They'll Be Come June: Repeating as Champions. There's no way I can pick another team to dethrone them right now. Sure the West is more stacked at the top and the East has a Pacers team only getting better, that other New York team with their new "Big 4," and of course...Derrick Rose is back, but I'll wager on the back-to-back champions, an even better LeBron (yeah that's possible), a healthy Wade, and Greg Oden's massive d̶o̶n̶g̶ ..er...untapped potential.
   




Sunday, November 3, 2013

The BIG NBA Season Preview (20-11)

Hey folks here's part 2. Once again rankings reflect opinions prior to the start of the season...so how about Mikey Carter-Williams and those Sixers! Without further ado here's teams 20-11 starting with Jack's favorite team, enjoy.

20. Los Angeles Lakers

Goal: To run and gun like it's 2005.

Intrigue: The Return of Kobe Bryant - Of course it is. I don't know why the Lakers are trying to win when this season could be a year they flop and be gifted Andrew Wiggins (C'mon! You don't think if they were in the bottom 5 at the end of the season there wouldn't be some type of rig in the lottery to gift them the top pick?? It's the Lakers! See: Chris Paul, Dwight Howard) Besides that, the Lakers are pretenders regardless of their attempts to "win" this year and given the teammates Kobe has to play with, when he returns (hopefully healthy) we may get to witness 2006 Kobe all over again which no one minds. If the season is lost why not try and average 35 a game and chase Kareem

Player(s) to Watch: Wes Johnson, Xavier Henry, Shawne Williams, Jordan Farmar -
One man's trash is another man's treasure? These are really rotation guys on this roster, really. Henry and Johnson are at their last chances to make an impression in the league before possibly having to make a career overseas, and Farmar and Williams made their returns to the league after playing international ball last year. There still is potential left unfulfilled by some of these guys and they'll have their chance to prove they belong.

Trade to Consider: (LAL) - Kevin Love, Anderson Varejao, Kyle Lowry
(TOR) - Steve Nash, Kevin Martin, Derrick Williams, Tristan Thompson
(MIN) - Pau Gasol, DeMar DeRozan, Dion Waiters
(CLE) - Rudy Gay, Shabazz Muhammad, Dante Cunningham, Laker's 1st Round Pick '14
*Logic - It's not logical for Minnesota or Cleveland but it's crazy as hell and would be awesome! If for any reason the T'Wolves suck this year and Love gets unhappy, Andrew Bynum is completely healthy (highly unlikely), and the Cavs decide they need to win right now and not go after LeBron in the offseason (most unlikely) then this trade has potential. For the Lakers they get their first building block to pair with Kobe and make Carmelo join. Varejao would be a nice center to possibly sign for cheaper the following season, and Lowry is a good point that expires too and could be re-signed for cheaper next season as well. Toronto gets their legend to finally play at home, and they get two prospects in Williams and Thompson (another Canadian)...and Kevin Martin will keep shooting. Minnesota gets to pair Rubio with his buddy Gasol and DeRozan could be a great running mate for him, and D̶w̶y̶a̶n̶e̶ ̶W̶a̶d̶e̶ ̶2̶.̶0̶  (slowly but surely regretting that claim..) Dion Waiters!! Cleveland gets a sidekick for Kyrie, Cunningham is big man depth, and Muhammad and draft pick are for the future. It's not that bad when I think about it actually. Let's hope Kevin Love wants out and the Cavs don't want LeBron back, yah. 

Where They'll Be Come June: Preparing for a big offseason of spending to restore the franchise to its former glory (re-sign Kobe, 1 big free agent, and high lottery pick or flipping lottery pick with Gasol in sign and trade for potential big name in the 2015 free agency *cough Kevin Love *cough?)   

19. Atlanta Hawks

Goal: To be San Antonio Spurs East? Get a high draft pick? I don't know who or what they want to be...

Intrigue: The flexibility of this team's goals - If it all works out they can be a sleeper playoff team with a ton of depth. If it doesn't work, they have a ton of tradable assets including Paul Milsap's new and friendly contract with some decent pieces to rebuild with. 

Player To Watch: Dennis Schroder - German Rondo, that is all.

Trade To Consider: I really don't know! The options are endless, the contracts are friendly, but I don't know the type of team they want to be. If a deal does happen, most likely it will be Milsap, Korver, and Lou Williams getting dealt (all deadline potentials to put a team over the top).


Where They'll Be Come June: In the same place they were last year, stuck in the middle. They're not good enough to make the playoffs but they're not bad enough for a top 10 pick.

18. Denver Nuggets

Goal: Not to decline dramatically despite big overhauls this offseason (new coach, new key players) 

Intrigue: Putting together the right rotations with many serviceable players but not enough minutes to offer - It starts with Brian Shaw and his chance to finally be an NBA coach and show he is much more than a triangle disciple. So far I don't like it (see Kenneth Faried's minutes)...

Player to Watch: Quincy Miller - The way he plays and his body size is so similar to KD's and his coach has said he's similar to Paul George so what gives on the playing time? I'm tired of caring about JaVale McGee living up to his "potential" (he's too incompetent to ever live up to it, it's sad), and the rest of this team is pretty boring except for Nate, Ty, Manimal, and Grandpa Andre, so give us someone else to watch Brain Shaw. Play Quincy!  Let that boy cook! 

Trade to Consider: (DEN) - Omer Asik, Terrence Jones, Patrick Beverly, Danny Granger, George Hill
(HOU) - Kenneth Faried, Andre Miller, Ian Mahinmi
(IND) - Ty Lawson, Wilson Chandler, Darrell Arthur
*Logic - Brian Shaw wants a more rugged, defensive, slow-paced style? Then he gets it here. He gets one of the best defensive centers in the league to anchor the team, he gets his point guard that fits his style including Beverly, T-Jones has potential (he just needs playing time to prove it), and Granger will provide scoring they need. 
If Shaw won't play Manimal, I know McHale and the Rockets will. He and D-12 working the paint together will be amazing! Throw in Grandpa Andre backing up Lin, and Mahinmi D-12, this becomes my Western Conference favorite.
Indiana gets a change of pace point guard which could be great for their team, Chandler can come off the bench and fill it up, and Darrell Arthur is a good role player.

Where They'll Be Come June: Being that team that won 50 or more games the previous season and not making the playoffs this season. They'll also have a much different roster catered to Shaw than they currently have now.

17. Washington Wizards

Goal: To finally make the playoffs!!

Intrigue: John Wall and Bradley Beal as a potential new best backcourt in the NBA.

Player to Watch: Bradley Beal - Consistency and health are the key to him having a breakout year. He started slow last season but picked it up in the middle, but unfortunately was injured to close out the season. This year he plays the important Robin role to John Wall's Batman and they'll need him to make the leap into one of the top shooting guards (not a deep position in the league anymore) in the league to make a final spot in the playoffs.

Trade to Consider: (WAS) - Rudy Gay
(TOR) - Arron Afflalo, Jan Vesely, Brandon Rush
(ORL) - Richard Jefferson, Kevin Seraphin
(UTA) - Trevor Ariza, Glen Davis, Glen Rice Jr.
*Logic - The Gortat deal ended all the potential big men trades I had for this team (Monroe, Z-Bo, etc.) so I'm left with upgrading? their small forward spot if it means winning at all costs. Rudy Gay makes their wing combo really intriguing in their ability to score and even though he may not be the most efficient player, having someone you can throw the ball to in the post or iso in crunch time with that patented fadeaway will be crucial come playoff time. 
Toronto gets the underrated Afflalo, the last hope of Vesely, and Rush's 3 point shooting.
Orlando gets expirings (Jefferson potential buyout and Seraphin has potential) to let Oladipo take over at the 2 and Utah gets Ariza who has been on fire to start the year, Big Baby who has always been a decent rotation guy and Glen Rice's baby boy.  

Where They'll Be Come June: Fresh off their first playoff appearance since 2008, their cap flexibility allows them to pursuit an upgraded big man over Gortat for a deeper run next year. 

16. Cleveland Cavaliers

Goal: Win enough (Get to the 2nd round of the Playoffs) to interest LeBron to come home.

Intrigue: The rise of King Kyrie - Year 3 alert! Yes it is year 3, the hype is at an all-time high. How far will he carry this team?

Player to Watch: Andrew Bynum - Because of this, this, this, this, and this! No actually it's because if he can ever return to form and stay healthy, the Cavs may have found themselves the biggest steal in last year's free agency. Given Bynum's work ethic, past health, and maturity, signs point to him not ever reaching the potential of being the second most dominating center in the league today or even staying healthy enough to be on the court. However, if he does get it all to work, not only would this change where this Cavs team stands this season, but it makes it a very enticing destination for other free agents besides LeBron. As for LeBron, how could he not consider joining forces with Kyrie Irving, either Bennett or Thompson (they must rid one), and healthy Bynum?

Trade to Consider: Cleveland was already involved in one at first and they'll be involved in another one coming up next. They'll be tough to make a trade with because they want as much cap flexibility as possible heading into the offseason. Therefore a trade like: Tristan Thompson & Anderson Varejao for LaMarcus Aldridge would make sense. However Cleveland needs all the money possible to entice LeBron and perhaps another player of his choice. The Aldridge deal wouldn't cap them out (they have the choice to not pick up Bynum's option, CJ Miles is off the books, and they can clear some more cap with some smaller deals) but it would only allow them to sign LeBron. For LeBron, Kyrie would be enticing to play with, but is Aldridge the big he would want?   

Where They'll Be Come June: Allowing Dan Gilbert to plan an all-out recruitment of LBJ written out all in Comic Sans MS which...actually Uncle Drew and Bynum will pitch the plan fresh off their playoff appearance.


15. Dallas Mavericks 

Goal: To be a playoff team reminiscent of a roster with guys like them?! If you can name these 3 guys you get a cookie.

Intrigue: Playing like the Mavericks of 2001-2004 - I know I keep making this team's comparisons to the Mavs teams of the early 2000s but when I look at the roster it is almost just like it! Jose Calderon fills the role of Steve Nash before the MVPs, Vinta Callis are Michael Finley on steroids? Dirk is young Dirk but now old Dirk, Dalembert is this guy holding McGrady's nuts, and Shawn Marion, DeJuan Blair, Devin Harris and bench co. are all those great players Cuban took a chance on regardless of the stink they carried with them as they declined (see: Keith Van Horn, Nick Van Exel, Antoine Walker, Juwan Howard, etc.) This team is meant for maximum enjoyment on NBA Live 2003! If you like a team that scores a lot and is fun to watch that could be much better than expected but can probably not beat the elite teams of the league ever, this is your team.

Player to Watch: Gal Mekel - This is Israeli JJ Barea. He stole my heart during the summer league.

Trade to Consider: (DAL) - LaMarcus Aldridge, Wes Matthews
(POR) - Anderson Varejao, Tristan Thompson, Goran Dragic, Jae Crowder
(CLE) - Shawn Marion, Vince Carter, Shane Larkin
(PHX) - Brandan Wright, Dion Waiters
*Logic - Aldridge and Matthews will make the Mavs potential contenders in the West. How they protect the paint will be the only question, scoring won't be. Portland puts together one of those sneaky good teams that go 12 deep. Cleveland gets wing scoring they need for a one year rental ( = cap relief for Bron Bron & I am very convinced by no reason that Bynum is/will be healthy...) and Phoenix gets to pair Bledsoe with Waiters in their starting backcourt. That has me salivating. I am probably the only person excited about that. 

Where They'll Be Come June: Ready to try and sign another big free agent this...wait they don't have cap space anymore...oh what, they have Calderon for another 3 years...WHAT THE FUCK they have Monta Ellis for at least 2 more years?!?!? This is what happens when you choose Shark Tank over building your team for the future and even when attempting to make Dwight Howard happen but failing. Damn Cubes, DAMN.


13. Detroit Pistons/New Orleans Pelicans 

Goal: Being crazy enough to make it all work and get into the playoffs.

Intrigue: Winning/Building chemistry with new-look rosters with great potential but unpredictable outcomes - With Detroit it's about oversizing teams to death which will be great on defense with Josh Smith playing the 3, but on offense how will it all work? Will Josh Smith be able to be a consistent outside shooter to stretch the floor and open the paint, and which 2-guard is the answer to those spacing issues as well (Chauncey - kind of old, Kaldwell-Pope - rookie, Stuckey - can't shoot)? As for the Pelicans they've got guards galore to compliment Brow Davis but are they the right guards (shoot-first, ball dominant) in creating the perfect chemistry? Hell no, but it will be fun all year long observing the ball movement when Holiday, Gordon, and Evans are on the court together. There might be more dribbles and standing around than an OKC Thunder playoff offense. It will just be interesting to watch both these teams try and make it work.  

Player(s) to Watch: Det - Andre Drummond - winner of the summer, protector of women, number 1 in your heart. He's so adorable like a giant teddy bear! Yet he's monster on the court. Amare Jr. with defensive prowess is on the way folks.
NO - Jrue Holliday - I wanted to say Bert but that's too easy. He's going to be great. He's next in line to be a superstar big man in the league, but the most important person in getting him to those heights and the rest of the Pelicans to the next level and into the playoffs is Holiday. He has to be a POINT GUARD regardless if it's not his style. 19 shots from your point guard does not cut it. If there's anyone that can fill the role of distributor it's either him or Tyreke, and it's not like he wasn't doing it last year. If someone can cut down on pounding the rock and instead create for others, he's the best man for the job. He can make it all work for the team. 

Trade to Consider: (DET) - Eric Gordon, Jason Smith
(NO) - Greg Monroe, Rodney Stuckey
*Logic - Let's just have these two teams help each other. Detroit gets an actual shooting guard not Chauncey Billups, and the Hornets get a power forward to compliment Anthony Davis. New Orleans would probably jump at this deal, but Detroit would probably not (No way I would take on 3 years of Eric Gordon at $14 million until he can actually stay on the court).

Where They'll Be Come June: Both successful in making the playoffs, looking to further build their teams through moving the pieces that did not fit during the experimental year.

12. Minnesota Timberwolves

Goal: To get these guys to play a full season together without any injuries.

Intrigue: The potential to be much better than expected in a wide open Western Conference - Health and luck goes a long way for this team, seriously. The last time Rick Adelman had a roster that looked this good, it's championship run was derailed by back and knee injuries to T-Mac followed by Yao's foot, and dating further back, knee injuries to Chris Webber (...and Tim Donaghy) derailed his best Kings teams from fulfilling their potential. This roster looks like the perfect Adelman team. He's got a star in Kevin Love, a foreign center as always, a fun point guard to watch, and numerous wings that fit certain roles (if K-Mart, Corey Brewer, Chase Budinger, Derrick Williams, & Alexey Shved were combined into one super player he would be uber athletic, great defensively, can shoot the long ball, and has some potential to be a future all-star, unfortunately each man fills only one or two of those attributes...). If Rubio can make it all gel and Love doesn't get hurt, the Wolves could be knocking on the door of the Western elites.


Player to Watch: Ricky Rubio - If Trent Dilfer was a basketball analyst, he would die of a heart attack from the beauty of Rubio's dimes.

Trade to Consider: (MIN) - OJ Mayo, Ersan Ilyasova, Nate Wolters
(MIL) - Kevin Martin, Derrick Williams, JJ Barea
*Logic - This trade really doesn't do much dramatically for either team actually...I just wanted OJ to play for the team that drafted him...and Ilyasova would be an upgrade at small forward over Budinger and Brewer. Wolters has actually looked great to begin the year and he may end up being good enough to be the Bucks' starting point guard so this trade would be declined.
For Milwaukee they get more of a pure scorer in K-Mart, D-Will still has potential (think Sanders, Henson, Williams frontcourt = long/athleticism overload) and Barea will provide offense the Bucks will need.

Where They'll Be Come June: Given the ultimate fate of Rick Adelman's coaching career, having a great regular season but ousted from the playoffs after a hard-fought first round series.

11. New York Knicks

Goal: To outscore the opponent to death en route to an NBA championship (Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha).

Intrigue: Their entire roster...yes that includes you Chris Smith - Despite the fact that this team will play zero defense and rely on Tyson Chandler to protect the paint and nab almost every missed shot, what they lack in toughness and basketball fundamentals, they make up for in entertainment value through the charisma of their players and their style of play. It may not be ok to shoot 30 threes in a game but dammit, watching Ron Artest, Andrea Bargnani, and JR Smith shoot 25 of those and only make 3 combined will be entertaining as hell. Add Carmelo isolations, a shooting guard that can rap, and fat Raymond Felton having to run the show...MY GOD we have basketball porn. They will be fun to watch but once you're done watching you will feel guilty for indulging in such improper basketball.      

Player to Watch: JR SWISH -  When he's not playing basketball, he has a way with words and pictures especially with the ladies. While he does all these wonderful things off the court, on the court he's just as great. Nothing phases this man. He's capable of going Super Saiyan like 10 straight 3s NBA Jam fire-style, but he can also go 1 for 20 ice cold and still take the 21st shot with three guys contesting the shot and shrug it off. That's why I've always loved JR, that's why you should love JR. 

Trade to Consider: *RONDO TRADE ALERT
(NYK) - Rajon Rondo, Gerald Wallace, Chuck Hayes, Travis Outlaw
(BOS) - Iman Shumpert, Jimmer Fredette, Pat Patterson, John Salmons, Patty Mills, Corey Joseph, Matt Bonner
(SAC) - Amar'e Stoudemire, Brandon Bass, Jordan Crawford
(SAS) - Raymond Felton, Jason Thompson 
*Logic - Rondo could be so much fun to watch on this team (Chandler alley-oops, dishing and swishing to JR, Bargs, Melo etc., gamble steals all the time!) he can average 15 assists a game with what he has to work with. Hayes and Outlaw could fill minutes off the bench, and Crash will be able to play free as a 6th, 7th, or 8th man doing whatever role is required of him on the given night. Tim Hardaway Jr. and JR Smith's new contract makes Shump expendable and getting rid of 2 years of Amar'e's contract for 3 years of Gerald Wallace's contract I guess evens out. 
Boston gets a pu pu platter of role players, with Shump and Patterson as the potential prizes (not good enough for Rondo I guess...but who cares the C's get the restart button and John Salmons!). The Kings get Bass to play with Cousins up front, hopefully healthy Stoudemire actually, and the Spurs upgrade depth.   

Where They'll Be Come June: Ousted from the first round of the playoffs, the Knicks need to reevaluate whether Melo is the franchise player they need for the future or head in a new direction.


The top 10 teams will be up soon. Keep it posted. Thanks for reading.