Tuesday, October 30, 2012

Season Preview 2012-2013: The Eastern Conference (1-8)

Alright yall back with the second part of the Eastern Conference preview, the cream of the crop, the playoff teams which actually do not say much about the quality of these teams because to be honest the East is very bad this year. There are really only 3 legitimate contenders and there's no doubt who the clear cut favorite is to win the conference.

Before I begin though I just want to clarify to the readers that may be offended by these record predictions and the preciseness of it. There is no precision. I'm not a math major and I do not have the time to total all the games and break down accurate records. They're just guesstimates. Just be happy that I'm taking time out of a busy schedule to do this please. I try my hardest (typed some of this on my Iphone in class - that's what I call dedication). Also I am a firm believer in a lot of 7-game playoff series in this conference this year. More games who doesn't like that? Anyways no more blabbering. Ladies and gentleman I present to you the top 8 in the East:

8. Atlanta Hawks

Projetced Starting 5: Jeff Teague (PG), Lou Williams (SG), Josh Smith (SF), Al Horford (PF), Zaza Pachulia (C)

Overview: This team may actually be much better than where they're ranked, but right now I'm a little concerned about where their offense will come from and it remains to be seen how their many new pieces will fit. Joe Johnson is gone. I love it and it was necessary to get rid of him despite the fact that he was a lot of their perimeter offense.1 His replacements I really like. They have plenty of scorers and the new look of perimeter scoring will feature a committee of guys capable of filling the role (Jeff Teague, Devin Harris, Lou WIlliams, John Jenkins, Anthony Morrow, & Kyle Korver). The league has shown in the past few years that teams are capable of winning without a primary scorer and solid depth (see: Denver Nuggets) and these guys just have to go out and prove it. The bigs are very solid, a bunch of gritty bangers (Zaza, Ivan Johnson & Anthony Tolliver) led by hopefully a full healthy season of Al Horford who when healthy is capable of being an annual all-star. If the guards and bigs do their jobs it'll make life a lot easier for Josh Smith who is now handed the keys to the franchise. Last year Smoove finally got it and played to what he is capable of doing without doing too much. This year I expect him to be even better (20 &11 good) and thrive under the responsibility of leader of the team...Now that I think about it, I actually kind of really like this team. They'll be good defensively and I dig the perimeter scoring by committee. Why are they not ranked higher??...Stop it Anson they're coach is Larry Drew and they're the Hawks, the annual one round wonder. Ok onto the...   


Player to Watch: Devin Harris - I'm actually really interested in seeing how he'll perform as a 6th man and whether or not he'll be able to perform the way he once did in the Eastern Conference. On this team he'll have to be good and he'll have to be a large contributor because the Hawks need new perimeter scoring now that Joe Johnson is gone. Scoring off the bench starts with Harris and I think he will thrive in his new role. He'll be up there in consideration for 6th man of the year when the season is over.2


Things That Intrigue Me: More Ivan the Terrible - Have you ever watched Ivan Johnson play?? Well you should. The man is all motor and energy and he is that one scrappy guy that every team needs to have. His journey to the league is very cool and off the court he shatters backboards like it's no one's business. He's fun to watch on the court and I hope there's more broken backboards off it.


Season Prediction: (42-40) = Another disappointing first round loss in the playoffs, but giving the top seed a serious run for their money.


7. Chicago Bulls*

Projected Starting 5: Kirk Hinrich (PG)*, Richard Hamilton (SG), Luol Deng (SF), Carlos Boozer (PF), Joakim Noah (C)

Overview: This ranking is solely based on the belief that Derrick Rose will return to the team by February and eventually return to form before the regular season is over therefore the asterisk. They may be a lot worse depending on Rose's return. An ACL tear is a serious injury and a lot of athletes never return the same. As young and great of an athlete as Rose is, you just never know. Besides if Rose does come back healthy and better than before, it will take him time to shake off the rust and the Bulls will have to play at least half the season without him. So then looking at the roster what do they have here besides Rose? I see a team that will tread .500 which is already good and a lot of that will be credited to Tom Thibodeau being a good coach and the Bulls having played a good portion of the regular season without him before (18-9 last season). The team is pretty much the same as last year with some slight adjustments to their bench players (Nate Robinson, Marco Belinelli, Nzar Mohammed) and Kirk Hinrich who can do no wrong is the replacement for Rose until he returns. Rip is back at the 2 and hopefully he'll be healthy this year because the team will need his offense. Luol Deng and Carlos Boozer need to be much better this year and I expect more improvement from Joakim Noah. Overall this will pretty much be a wasted season for a team who should have been the toughest competition for that team down in South Beach. For now they will have to settle for the ultimate prize of their season when D-Rose returns healthy and ready to lead them again. 


Player to Watch: Carlos Boozer - He's been a huge disappoint since he started playing for the team and in a year where they will need someone to lead them through the first half of the season, he has to be the guy. I know he's never been good under pressure and he isn't a superstar, but he is an all-star, and he is capable of playing at a higher level. If Boozer fails to play well early in the season, the Bulls may be in trouble actually.


Things That Intrigue Me: The Return of Derrick Rose - Isn't everyone eager to see how he'll play when he returns? He means everything to the team and even the city. Without him the Bulls are really irrelevant. Here's to a speedy recovery and the return of an even better Derrick Rose.


Season Prediction: (44-38) = Derrick Rose putting on a first round playoff performance for the ages ending all doubts about his injury. However his team will not help him enough as they will lose in the first round in 7 games.



6. Philadelphia 76ers

Projected Starting 5: Jrue Holiday (PG), Jason Richardson (SG), Evan Turner (SF), Spencer Hawes (PF), Andrew Bynum (C)

Overview: The Philadelphia 76ers will be this year's equivalent of the Pacers last year and make the jump into a top tier team of the East starting next year. This however is all dependent on how healthy Andrew Bynum can stay and how good he will actually be now that he is the focus of a team's offense. He has what he wants now and he has to prove that his immaturity will not get in the way of his development. I believe he will prove he can be a franchise center and there is no way Doug Collins allows him to pull this off at any point this season. The rest of the pieces on the team I really like as well. Their bench will be one of the deeper units in the league with Thaddeus Young, Dorell Wright, Nick Young, and yes Kwame Brown. Spencer Hawes when healthy is actually very good.
3 I have always loved J-Rich and will continually do so for the remainder of his career. He, D-Wright, and Nick Young will have the luxury of spotting up and shooting 3's all game. That will be in large part due to Jrue Holiday who proved last season in the playoffs, he is on the verge of being a very good point guard for years to come. Holiday should have a better year and he will log a lot of minutes without a stable backup for him on the roster. The x-factor of the team who is the...   

Player to Watch: Evan Turner - Will have a lot of pressure this season to make his front office look good for their faith that he will be able to replace Andre Iguodala's production in the lineup. Turner is very capable of doing the job and is due for a breakout season (It's year 3!). There really isn't much to say about Turner, he's a pretty unorthodox player but he's very versatile and I've liked him since his days at Ohio State. He'll be very good this year...or at least he'll have to be.  


Things That Intrigue Me: Andrew Bynum's Afro - Just look at that thing. What is it? Why does he have it? Will he keep it all season? Is it done in respect to his former teammate Kobe Bean Bryant a Philly native? Why Andrew?? Why??


Season Prediction: (45-37) =1st round exit to their predecessors and I know I sound like a hypocrite because they're finishing worst than last year, but they got lucky with the D-Rose ACL injury. This year's team will actually be better but it's just unfortunate that the team they will have to play will be better than them. They will learn and be better from the defeat.


5.Brooklyn Nets

Projected Starting 5: Deron Williams (PG), Joe Johnson (SG), Gerald Wallace (SF), Kris Humphries (PF), Brook Lopez (C)


Overview: It's the inaugural year for the team in Brooklyn and after what could have been a disastrous offseason for them,
4 the Nets were able to re-sign Deron Williams and have loaded up with solid pieces around him. On paper the Nets look like they can be really good. Deron Williams is a top 5 point guard in the league and possibly a top 10 player in the league. He can do everything from creating for his teammates, breaking a defender's ankles (which is one of the most beautiful things to watch), and he can drop 57 on a team when he feels like it. To compliment his skill, Joe Johnson was acquired from the Hawks and he should have a great season with less pressure to be the top dog on his team. All Joe has to do is put the ball in the bucket and that is something he has never had a problem doing. Gerald Wallace and Kris Humphries5 should be very fun to watch if you're a fan of gritty, tough-nosed basketball. Those two will crash boards, attack the rim, and play hard every possession. The bench is also a strong unit. They've added my favorite scrapper of the league, Reggie Evans, and they've also added CJ Watson, Andray Blatche, and Josh Childress to go along with MarShon Brooks who was very impressive last season. As for there starting center he will be mentioned in just a bit, but just looking at the Nets roster, the talent is there for them to compete and possibly get to the Conference Finals.  

There are a lot of expectations for this team however, and you have to wonder will they live up to all the hype? The front office has done an excellent job to put together a legitimate Eastern Conference contender, ownership has provided them a beautiful arena to play in, and Jay-Z has done his job promoting this "new" franchise. Now it's time for the players to actually play and prove they're worthy of all the attention.  


Player to Watch: Brook Lopez - Personally, I think he is overrated. Ok he's hovered around 20 points a game the last three seasons, but 3.6 boards a game last year?? Really? There is no excuse for any 7-foot center to be out-rebounded by a point guard and there were three that did. One happened to be 5'10 (Ty Lawson).
This season, Brook Lopez will have to do a lot more than score. He has to prove he can be a valid sidekick and the complimentary big to the backcourt of D-Will and Joe Johnson. I do not doubt his ability to score in the post, but on a team that has many other guys capable of scoring, he needs to get his butt in the paint and work the boards and be gritty like his counterpart, Kris Humphries. Brook Lopez's development is key in determining whether or not this Brooklyn team is a contender or pretender. If Lopez can prove he is a franchise center contrary to popular belief (ask Orlando), the Nets may be much better than I give them credit for.

Things That Intrigue Me: The Illuminati - Is that stuff real? Is Sean Carter the President? Did it play a role on Deron Williams re-signing in fear of his life? Did you know on Jigga's first album, Reasonable Doubt, in the track "D'Evils" the chorus takes a sample of Prodigy from Mobb Deep that says, "
Illuminati want my mind, soul, and my body. Secret society tryna keep they eye on me"? That was 1996  when he was a young disciple? and now in 2012 this Iluuminati business is a big deal and Jay-Z is now the boss of bosses in the rap game and the Illuminati? I am babbling way too much now so I'll stop before Jay-Z has me killed. This really had nothing to do with basketball, but doesn't it make you wonder?

Season Prediction: (47-35) = A first round loss to the other team in the New York area. I'm not sold on the Nets ready to compete this season, but next year should be a better year for them.
 



4. New York Knicks

Projected Starting 5: Raymond Felton (PG), Iman Shumpert* (SG), Carmelo Anthony (SF), Amar'e Stoudemire (PF), Tyson Chandler (C)

Overview: Look I know that I have the Knicks pretty high up on the list and with the way their season ended last year why should they be ranked 4th in the East when their most significant offseason moves included allowing Jeremy Lin to sign with Houston and replacing him with an old Jason Kidd and fat Ray Felton, trading for an old, yet still serviceable Marcus Camby, and signing an old and retired-for-a-year Rasheed Wallace? To go along with that, Landry Fields is gone (wasn't worth re-signing anyways), Iman Shumpert will be out till at least December, and Amar'e Stoudemire is expected to be out for 6 weeks. So why exactly are the Knicks this high when they have a ton of injuries, terrible front court depth that will not be able to make up for Amar'e's absence, and an uncertain backcourt rotation as well? Oh and they're two best players can't really play together when healthy anyways? Well...my answer to all this is Carmelo Anthony growing up. 


I know Melo's been lackluster since he was traded to the Knicks and the team has always seemed to play better when he's not on the court, but did you see how good Melo was this summer at the Olympics? Melo is the type of player that needs affirmation of his talent. He needs to be reminded of how good he actually is and this summer was that wake-up call reminding him just how good he can be. 6 With STAT out, there is no doubt who the go-to-guy is and who's team this is. Melo should be almost overconfident in his ability to score and this team has guys that can get him the ball (Jason Kidd can still create for others and Ray will be mentioned more in a bit.) and compliments to score with him as well (JR, Steve Novak). Offense will never be a problem for this team. It has always been the defensive woes that have cost them, but their defense has vastly improved. They will primarily be protecting the paint with Tyson Chandler, Marcus Camby, and yes, Rasheed Wallace when he's ready to go. They will also have Ronnie Brewer on the perimeter to sure up the D for now. Jason Kidd is still a pretty good defender, and when Shump returns they have another very good perimeter defender.


The main concern for the Knicks will be the chemistry and how all the pieces will fit once everyone is healthy. Although Carmelo will be able to set the tempo of this team towards the way he wants to play early on, he will need to figure a way to work with Amar'e when he returns and I believe the...  


Player to Watch: Raymond Felton - Will be the x-factor in making this all work. If and this is a huge if...If Raymond Felton is in shape I believe he can have a huge impact on this team. I am interested in seeing him play with Amar'e Stoudemire again and with Carmelo. Remember how good he and STAT and that entire Knicks squad was prior to the Carmelo trade two years ago? Felton became a fan-favorite, was playing at an all-star level, and Amar'e was the MVP of the league at the time. Then he went to Denver and Portland where he didn't get along with the coaches and he got fat while the Knicks have failed to get out of the first round with Melo. Now that he's back with the Knicks I'm curious to see if there will be a rejuvenated Felton
able to be the gel that brings together Melo and Amar'e's game.7 I understand D'Antoni is not the coach this time around, but I believe if Ray can bring back any semblance of what the Knicks had two years ago prior to the trade, the Knicks will become one of the most fun teams to watch and one of the most dangerous teams in the league as well. 


Things That Intrigue Me: RASHEED WALLACE - Come on yall are you excited for the return? I am. I love Rasheed. Homeboy gives zero F's about what anyone thinks and he is going to make this Knicks a lot more fun to watch (and they are already going to be a fun team to watch). My questions are: Will Rasheed continue to wear the high-top Air Force 1's? Will he lead the league in technical fouls? Is he going to bring back that "old school" post game he has promised? Is he going to hit threes and play great defense like the good old days? Was that patch in the back of his head a bald spot or white? I could never really tell.
Can he teach Amar'e how to play defense? Man I'm so excited for Sheed's return!!


Season Prediction: (47-35) = Prevailing in the battle for New York, but another ugly defeat to the top ranked team in the conference in round 2 (5 games).


3. Indiana Pacers

Projected Starting 5: George Hill (PG), Paul George (SG), Danny Granger (SF), David West (PF), Roy Hibbert (C)

Overview: I like everything about this team except for one thing which is actually kind of important. I do not like their supposed best player, Danny Granger. Granger is overrated and on the decline and he thinks he's better than he actually is. He believes he's an alpha dog but honestly he's a top tier third best player on a championship team and at this point in his career, he is a decent high-volume scorer. However these deficiencies I mention can work with this team. The Pacers are a very good team and because they need someone to score, Granger's role fits. As I mentioned, the Pacers are a very good TEAM and their success doesn't rely heavily on one player but a lot of their players. They've solidified their bench by adding Gerald Green, DJ Augustin, Ian Mahinmi and Sam Young to go along with Psycho T. David West had a pretty poor first year with the team last season so the Pace are definitely hoping for a bounce back year from him and will need it. While the two most important players in determining their success this year will be Roy Hibbert and Paul George. I already believe Roy Hibbert is actually the best player on this team and did you know he's only 25? He was an all-star last year and he's improved every year and I expect him to be even better this year. I expect the offense to be run through him more and I also expect him to be a better rebounder (8.8 a game for someone 7'2 is not enough). As for Paul George, he's always been getting comparisons to Tracy McGrady, and in his young career he's received a lot of hype for being a high-flyer. This year I believe he will be known for being much more than a high-flyer and those Tracy McGrady comparisons will be further affirmed. He had a solid sophomore year and was a significant contributor to the Pace last year
and in the all important year three, George will become an even more significant contributor taking his offensive game to another level.


Overall the Pacers will remain a very good defensive team, but have improved their offense immensely with their new bench and the younger guys developing and ready for larger production which was desperately needed. With an improved offense and already solid defense, the Pacers are ready to take a leap into the group of annual contenders and it really should not be a surprise to anyone that they're ranked this high.        


Player to Watch: DJ Augustin -I'm not really sold on George Hill as a legitimate starting point guard in this league and I would much rather have him as a sixth man providing a scoring spark. Augustin is currently Hill's backup and I believe the eventual starting point guard of a very deep Pacers team. Augustin is actually a solid player (14 & 6 when healthy 2 years ago) and a bargain ($3.5 million/year) who has been overlooked the past few years cause he was a Bobcat but I believe on the Pacers he will get his shine. Whether he is a role player or starter, he will prove his worth.  



Things That Intrigue Me: The Return of Mr. "Birthday Cake" - For those that do not know, Gerald Green came back to the league last year and was very good on the Nets. He wasn't just doing things like this in the video, he was also rounding out his game becoming an efficient scorer. This year he is the Pacers' 6th man and I want to see how he handles that role and whether or not he's reaching that point in his career where he fulfills his potential.

Season Prediction: (52-30) = A second round loss to the 2nd ranked team in 7, but they assert themselves as the Grizzlies of the East for the next few years.


2. Boston Celtics

Projected Starting 5: Rajon Rondo (PG), Courtney Lee (SG), Paul Pierce (SF), Brandon Bass (PF), Kevin Garnett (C)

Overview: Just when you thought the C's were ready to bow out of contention in the East and begin rebuilding, they're back for another title run. This season they will also be better and most importantly younger. So the C's lost Ray Allen and their core is another year older, but boy do I like the new depth that they have added and have returning. Ray Allen's replacement? The C's have plenty to fill his shoes. Courtney Lee, absolutely love him and he's going to be great as the team's starting 2-guard. Jason Terry will replace the three point shooting of Ray, and Leandro Barbosa can provide instant offense and even backup Rondo. They have instant contributing rookies as well in Jared Sullinger and Fab Melo. Then there is the return of Avery Bradley and most importantly Jeff Green who has been mighty impressive in the offseason. How well Green plays will be very important to the team's success because he will have a significant role on the team, and if he does indeed play like the reincarnation of James Worthy then the C's will be 10 times better and 10 times a greater threat to the Heat. Brandon Bass will be the same player for his entire career so there should be no expectancy of decline or progression anytime. As for the new "Big 3" nothing much will change either. KG and Paul Pierce are starting to reach that really old age of decline but I don't expect a big drop off from either of those guys. Plus there's a reason they have added all this depth in the offseason. 


Last and certainly not least is one of my favorites, wait for it...Are you ready?? RondoOOOoooOOoooOOooOOoOOOooo. Make no mistake about it, this is Rajon Rondo's team. It was his team last year as well, but this year there are no doubts. There is no one that denies it (*cough cough Ray Allen last year) and it's time for Rondo to take his game to the next level and not only be a playmaker (which he will continue to do masterfully). This is the year Rondo plays his entire season the way he played opening day last year. This is the year he attacks the rim more often to get to the line. This is the year he shoots efficiently and consistently from the perimeter, and this is the year he becomes strongly considered for an MVP. He will have to play this way if the Celtics want a legitimate shot at beating the Heat in May. It won't be Paul Pierce or Kevin Garnett that leads this team back to the promise land. It will be the player the Heat have no answer for. It will be Rajon Rondo.          


Player to Watch: Jared Sullinger - Once a guaranteed top-10 pick in last year's draft, Sullinger fell down to the 21st pick due to a red flag on his back that scared teams away. He has shown no signs of a back problem in the summer league and preseason and looks to be an immediate contributor when the season begins. If he can remain healthy and play well, he's a gift to the team. He has a huge badonkadonk which allows him to post guys up and box out well for the boards. His inside game is quite refined for a rookie and if he does indeed contribute from day 1, it will allow the team to have a well-rested KG during the season ready for the rigors of the playoffs in April.


Things That Intrigue Me: How Important James Worthy 2.0 Will Be to the Team?  - Jeff Green has been excellent in the preseason and there is a lot of excitement in Boston for him fulfilling his trade value. He's been so good that the White Mamba has appointed him the next James Worthy and he's expected to be huge part of the team this year. So just how much will he contribute to the team? How could he have improved so much when he had to sit out all year for heart issues? Is he this year's Most Improved Player and 6th Man of the Year? Can he guard LeBron James??


Season Prediction: (56-26) = A tough 7-game series in the Eastern Conference Finals ending in defeat again. However they will have a brighter outlook on the future compared to the end of last year due in large part to the large contributions of Avery Bradley, Jared Sullinger, and the "James Worthy-esque" Jeff Green throughout the year.



1. Miami Heat

Projected Starting 5: Mario Chalmers (PG), Dwyane Wade (SG), Shane Battier (SF), LeBron James (PG, SG, SF, PF, C), Chris Bosh (Dinosaur)

Overview: It is often heard from many athletes that have won championships, that the repeat year is the hardest. Players get complacent and the desire to win is not as strong. The hangover from winning takes awhile to wear out and the motivation to play with a purpose takes longer to return. For this Miami Heat team however overcoming these mental lapses should not be a problem. The Heat should be hungrier than ever and will have plenty of motivation to prove they are still the main attraction in the league. For those that do not know, LeBron James had a breakthrough in the NBA Finals last year. He finally got it. He finally understood the true ability of his great talent and he finally became unafraid of the criticism that comes with being the athlete of his magnitude. He became a post-up nightmare with the brawn of Karl Malone and the creating ability of Magic Johnson. He was too quick for bigger defenders and too big for smaller defenders and his teammates (SHANE BATTIER and Mike Miller) lived off his ability to pick the defense apart. 
This offseason, LeBron has gotten back into the gym to better his post game and word on the streets is that a hook shot has been added to his arsenal...Now we have to consider watching an improved LeBron James from the NBA Finals for 82 regular season games with a team that has reloaded its shooting arsenal and will definitely be better this year.  

Mike Miller and Shane Battier are old(er) but they have Ray Allen and Rashard Lewis to fill their roles. Mario Chalmers will be a year older and a year better. Haslem and Joel Anthony will continue to bang. Chris Bosh hopefully will be healthy. It's his year three on the team so I will not be surprised if this is the year the return of the Dino-Raptor happens. Dwayne Wade has had a quiet offseason, but no one should ever sleep on him. He's gotten a shooting coach this offseason so he can make all the open shots LeBron will create for him and come on he's still freaking D-Wade, a top 5 player in the league. So with all the talent around Bron Bron and a team better than last year shouldn't we just hand LeBron the MVP trophy now and etch the Heat in the record books for going 73-9 and repeating? 


Well not so fast... While the Heat have gotten better, their biggest threats to defending their throne have improved as well (see #2 team in the East & the West is a lot better). The Heat also have a huge weak spot on their roster with the lack of a true center and will need to fill that void. Haslem, CB, Joel Anthony, and Josh Harrellson may be able to handle an old Kevin Garnett in the Eastern Conference Finals but they have no answer to stopping Dwight Howard if they were to meet the Lakers in the Finals. The Heat need to trade for a true center a la Anderson Varejao? Emeka Okafor? Andris Biedrins (just kidding, no one wants Bees right now). The Heat can cake walk through the regular season with the roster they have now, but the acquisition of a center will determine how they finish the entire season. There is no guarantee there will be a South Beach/Hollywood matchup come June for all the marbles, but it is likely and in order for the Heat to repeat, they cannot rely solely on the brilliance of LeBron. Someone needs to protect the paint. Someone will need to tame the monster that will be Dwight Howard.        


Player to Watch: Ray Allen - Apparently people say he is looking like the early-mid 2000 version of all-star Jesus Shuttlesworth and he will be playing with a chip on his shoulder.
8 That is not a good sign for opponents. Let's be honest, Shane Battier's performance in the Finals last year will not happen again this year nor will it happen consistently for 82 games of the regular season. That means with a rejuvenated Ray Allen, he will be able to take up the minutes of Shane Battier and be an even bigger threat with LeBron's ever-improving post game. If you thought open Shane Battier threes were scary just imagine Ray getting at least 5 of those in a game. He can possibly average 15 a game alone on open threes and if he is indeed back to his younger form there will be drives and mid-range jumpers as well? The thought of a young Ray on this Heat team is very very scary and every team should be worried.   


Things That Intrigue Me: MORE MORE MORE CHRIS BOSH GIFs - Did you know Chris Bosh is 1/3 man 1/3 troll and 1/3 Dino Raptor?


Season Prediction: (65-17)* = Dependent on whether or not they acquire that center they desperately need. If they do they will have the edge over that new super team in the West in the Finals. If they don't I truly believe they will fall short in defending their title.



Well Happy Opening Day yall! Josh has requested to do the fun conference so he'll be putting up the Western Conference preview soon. Stay posted for that. Enjoy the double-header tonight, and thanks for reading. 


Footnotes 
1 For the type of contract JJ had and the way he perfomed when it mattered most, which was very poorly, he wasn't worth keeping. Plus his tenure in the ATL was long overdue. 
2 I know I know. I’ve been riding the Devin Harris bandwagon for the longest time, but he will be good this year. I know it! Or at least I hope… 
3 A very underrated big. Did you actually know two weeks into the season last year, Hawes was getting strong consideration as an all-star and was posting near triple-double numbers? 
4 In case you forgot, they missed out on Dwight Howard, Gerald Wallace could have opted out, and Kris Humphries could have signed with another team. Deron Williams was also very close to signing with his hometown Mavericks but thanks to Mark Cuban caring more about Shark Tank than meeting with D-Will everything worked out. Just imagine if everything had actually gone wrong though. The Nets would move into the beautiful Barclays center possibly featuring Brook Lopez, CJ Watson, and Marshon Brooks as their attraction? That would not have been good. Thank you Illuminati. 
5 You can hate Humphries all you want for his personality, but the guy is a very good basketball player. He's a double-double machine if you haven't noticed his last two seasons of work and he should be putting up the same numbers this year. 
6 Just a quick reminder, the last time Melo showed out at the Olympics in 2008, he led the Nuggets to the Conference Finals the following NBA season. 
7 Give Carmelo the role of Gallinari and Wilson Chandler combined and bring back the pick and roll with STAT and even Tyson Chandler. Hell go small ball with STAT at the center, Melo at the 4, and Novak at the 3. I know that takes away the purpose of being better defensively, but it might be the only solution for this team to be successful. 
8 That chip is a huge F you to the Celtics.
 

Wednesday, October 24, 2012

Season Preview 2012-2013: The Eastern Conference (9-15)

Back folks! Sorry once again for the long long absence of the blog. As true basketball fans know, the season is less than a week away and I couldn't let the season begin without being opinionated and letting everyone know how I feel (excited and worried...) about the upcoming year and what to expect from each team. Time-willing hopefully I'll try and write more this season, but we'll see how that goes... But without further adieu, part 1 of the season preview, enjoy:


15. Orlando Magic  

Projected Starting 5: Jameer Nelson (PG), Arron Afflalo (SG), Hedo Turkoglu (SF), Gustavo Ayon (PF), Glen Davis (C)

Overview:  No offense to Orlando Magic fans if there are any left, but this team will be absolutely horrendous this year. To be honest I had no idea who their coach was so I had to look it up (Jacque Vaughn, a Popovich disciple so not bad) and then I looked at their roster and boy it does not look good. There are no all-stars on this team, not even a third best player on a championship team, or a young player for the team and fans to be really excited about.1 This team basically consists of a bunch of role players that will now have to assume roles that should not be given to them on this level of competition. Jameer Nelson congratulations you are now the superstar of this team, Hedo Turkoglu you're the sidekick, and Glen Davis you're the main interior post scorer...yikes. To go along with an identity crisis, this team also has no valuable trade assets to other teams besides JJ Redick, so even if they want to change the roster it won't be easy. The only positives I will give to this Magic team are Arron Afflalo who I absolutely love and will be solid for them, the fantasy values of their potential starting 5 only cause someone has to score, rebound, and dish, and their odds to draft Shabazz Muhammad or Nerlen Noel's high-top fade.2 Other than that, it's going to be a very long season in Orlando.   

Player to Watch: Andrew Nicholson - Cause someone has to be anticipated right? I mean Nicholson had a solid summer league and has looked good in the preseason. Also he boosted his draft stock late last year thanks to the tournament, and who knows, maybe he's a late bloomer?


Things That Intrigue Me:  The Record for Most Starting Line-Up Changes in a Season - I tried really hard to find the record and couldn't find it, but I'm pretty sure the Magic will have a chance to break it this season given its losses, potential trades, and potential injuries. It'll be really fun when people are raving about a 3-game winning streak led by a starting 5 of E'Twaun Moore, DeQuan Jones, Q-Rich, Gustavo Ayon, and Nik Vucevic...


Season Prediction: (12-70)  

14. Cleveland Cavaliers 

Projected Starting 5: Kyrie Irving (PG), Dion Waiters (SG), Alonzo Gee (SF), Tristan Thomas (PF), Anderson Varejao (C)

Overview: KYRIE IRVING, KYRIE IRVING... and KYRIE IRVING. Look I hate the Duke Blue Devils. I hate the players that come into the league from that school, but I love love love Kyrie Irving. He is without a doubt going to be a superstar and he already means everything to this franchise after just one season in the league. It surprised me just how good he actually was especially only playing 11 games of collegiate ball. Besides his incredible ball-handling skills, he's a clutch performer that is more efficient down the stretch, he is fearless attacking the rim and is an excellent finisher, and he has that confidence and swagger you want from your franchise player. Then there is the rest of his team...it's not much at all.Their bench is pretty eh...hey Boobie and CJ MIles! Sideshow Bob is their only solid frontcourt player while Tristan Thompson and Tyler Zeller still need time to develop. Dion Waiters who I have highly praised is a rookie so it will also take him time to adjust. This team has potential to be good. The pieces are there but they're just too young to compete. The losses will be plenty, but they will be very fun to watch this season mainly because of that backcourt of D-Wade 2.0 and Uncle Drew.

Player to Watch: Dion Waiters - As highly praised as Kyrie Irving is, it's his new backcourt mate that will catch my attention for this season. I've claimed him as the next D-Wade numerous times and just read the paragraph on rookie sleepers right here.

Things That Intrigue Me: Kryptonite to the King of Flop - With the new flopping rules implemented this season how will it affect the way Anderson Varejao plays this season? Will he be an ineffective defender? Will his skills become obsolete and cause him to shave his afro?? I hope not. 

Season Prediction: (25-57)             

13. Charlotte Bobcats

Projected Starting 5: Kemba Walker (PG), Gerald Henderson (SG), Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (SF), Tyrus Thomas (PF), Brendan Haywood (C)

Overview: This is actually a team with a ton of talent that includes a mix of young talent and underachieving talent that will probably be very fun to watch. So then you ask why do I have them this low in the East? Well talent doesn't necessarily equate to wins in this league especially when the good talent I speak of is young (Kidd-Gilchrist, Kemba, Bismack) and the underachieving talent are the veterans (Tyrus Thomas, Ben Gordon, etc.). To add to that, Michael Jordan is their owner, and they are the Charlotte Bobcats. I do not care if Mike Dunlap is getting love as a potential good coach in the league, their front office is just bad.3 Kidd-Gilchrist will be a great NBA player even though he went to the one team I did not want him to be drafted by.4 I just think there will be way too much pressure for him to be a player he's not capable of being, an alpha dog superstar. Guys like Gerald Henderson, Byron Mullens, and Kemba Walker will have plenty of opportunities to prove they can be solid players in the league. A change of scenery might do Ben Gordon well and I see him having a 6th man of the year type of season. Ramon Sessions can be exactly what he was meant to be a behind-the-scenes solid 7th man. While I do not see Tyrus Thomas's tenure on the team lasting very long into the season. The future of this team can be bright depending on how the young guys develop, but currently I just don't see them with the right mix of guys to win now. 

Player to Watch: Bismack Biyombo - It's year two of seeing whether or not we have the next Ben Wallace. He's already getting high-praises as a defensive game-changer and the highlights should keep on coming. The one aspect of the game I'm focused on is his offense if has has acquired any this offseason. From the looks of his preseason...not so much, but it doesn't mean with more minutes and practice he won't get there and make a huge improvement this year.

Things That Intrigue Me: The Legend of Byron "BJ" Mullens Ladies and gentleman Byron Mullens was the #1 ranked high school senior in the class of 2008 and once garnered praises as "the next Dirk Nowitzki," I kid you not. However after putting up these numbers in his lone college season, he disappeared into obscurity as a late 1st-round pick and sat on the bench for the Thunder his first two seasons in the league. Until last season, he joined the Bobcats and proved he can play a bit. He now plays on a team where minutes are plenty and he can now shine his hybrid pedophile stache/beard from arena to arena with a new array of three-point shooting this season and I'm a bit excited and you should be too    

Season Prediction: (30-52) 

 12. Detroit Pistons 

Projected Starting 5: Brandon Knight (PG), Rodney Stuckey (SG), Tayshaun Prince (SF), Jason Maxiell (PF), Greg Monroe (C)

Overview: This was really a toss-up of positioning between the Bobcats and Pistons, but I gave the Pistons a slight edge because...because...I don't even know. The Pistons have a roster of guys who have played longer together? They still have Tayshaun Prince? I don't know, but I actually think the Pistons roster looks a lot better than the mess they've had in the past few years. They've gotten rid of volume shooters the past few years (T-Mac, Ben Gordon, not Charlie Villanueva) and they finally have semblance of a team that is decent for Eastern Conference standards, but once again not good enough to compete for a playoff spot. I still like Brandon Knight and I think he will be better and so will Rodney Stuckey as an off-guard for another season. Tayshaun Prince has to be traded this year right?5 Greg Monroe will be underrated and undervalued again only because he plays for this team and I can just feel it, Andre Drummond will be a monster and eventually start at center with Monroe moving to the 4 when the year is all said and done. The bench is ok with Corey Spaghetti leading the way and Lawrence Frank is a decent coach. They'll be pretty bad this year, but they are on the right track to building a good team. They're a lottery pick contributor and Tayshaun Prince-trade away from getting there.

Player to Watch: Andre Drummond - The talk about Drummond is that he's a hit or miss. He's a physical specimen with very very raw skills that need a lot of work (no post game and needs to adjust to his physical gifts and game speed) clearly evident in his freshman year at UCONN. However the flashes of brilliance were shown as well with his ability to block shots, clean the glass, run the floor, and finish with strong dunks in the post. He's had a very impressive summer league and preseason and he reminds me and many of a young Amare Stoudemire. He's already a better defender than STAT at the tender age of 19 and now he just needs to work on his offensive game to become the potential superstar center he is capable of being.

Things That Intrigue Me: Where are the Rest of the 2004 Detroit Pistons Today? - Mike James, Rip Hamilton (Bulls), Chauncey Billups (Clippers), Rasheed Wallace (Knicks), Free Darko (Celtics) Ben Wallace, Corliss Williamson, Lindsey Hunter, Elden Campbell, Darvin Ham, (Retired)...and Tayshaun Prince is still a Piston folks.     

Season Prediction: (32-50)    

11. Washington Wizards 

Projected Starting 5: John Wall (PG), Bradley Beal (SG), Trevor Ariza (SF), Trevor Booker (PF), Nene (C)


Overview: I really like this Wizards team. I like the offseason acquisitions of Trevor Ariza and Emeka Okafor, I like the drafting of Bradley Beal, and I still like their young prospects in Chris Singleton, Jan Vesely, Trevor Booker, and Jordan Crawford. The team has gotten rid of their most problematic players (Rashard Lewis, Nick Young, JeVale McGee) and now have a roster with a ton of depth ready to compete in the East, but they still concern me a bit mainly because the success of the team rests heavily on the shoulders of one guy who is also the team's...     

Player to Watch: John Wall - It's been John Wall since his rookie year, last year, and this year. It's the all important third year and it's time that Wall plays to the level he is capable of playing at and live up to the potential and special athleticism only two other point guards in the league were blessed with (see: Russell Westbrook and Derrick Rose). I know it's harsh to expect so much in his third season but D-Rose won an MVP in year 3 and Russell Westbrook was All-NBA 2nd team in year 3. Wall can be just as good if not better than both the guys I compare him to. He just lacks that killer instinct and work ethic the other two have. He's reckless on the court and seems complacent with his skill which won't cut it. He needs to have shown improvement in his game and work hard to be better. If Wall can have a breakout year I would not be shocked if the Wizards end up being the 7 or 8 seed in the East. The talent is there and it's only a matter of time that Wall becomes a superstar in this league right? Here's to hoping this is the year.     

Things That Intrigue Me: Where is Eva Kodouskova? - Ms. Kodouskova as basketball fans remember is Jan Vesely's girlfriend and co-owner of the award for best kiss on draft night shared with hubby Jan Vesely. As of May 2012, they were still together. Apparently she plays basketball professionally in the Czech Republic and I really hope these two lovebirds are still together.

Season Prediction: (36-46)  

10. Toronto Raptors

Projected Starting 5: Kyle Lowry (PG), Landry Fields (SG), DeMar DeRozan (SF), Andrea Bargnani (PF), Jonas Valanciunas (C)

Overview: Alright I remember last season not showing love to this team (ranked them 15th) at all and having Josh finish their preview, but after looking at their roster for the season I have to say, I am quite intrigued by the potential of this team. They have A LOT of depth and it's a very good mix of it. I love the Kyle Lowry trade and I apologize to him for overlooking and doubting his ability the last few seasons. He's a good point guard that can do everything and I'm convinced he'll be good for the team. Landry Fields was overpaid but he's a solid player that will continue to do Landry Field things (intangibles). As for their two "star" players, I think Andrea Bargnani will have a good season once again though he needs to crash the boards more especially since he is a 7-footer. He'll always be a good player but never the star 1st pick he was expected to be. As for DeMar Derozan I think it's time he becomes a 20-point a game scorer with an improving jump-shot that will lead this team into contention for the final playoff spot in the East. The pressure for the starters to succeed won't be high either because I really like their bench and the versatility of the lineups Dwane Casey will be able to put together. He has guys like Jose Calderon, Linas Kleiza, John Lucas, Terrence Ross, and Ed Davis that are interchangeable with the starters and will allow them to play any style of basketball. This team has the potential to be a League Pass favorite and will be much better than last season.   

Player to Watch: Jonas Valanciunas - Watch the video. He's quite a character. Enough said.

 

Things That Intrigue Me: How Long Will It Take Before Vince Carter Joins Tracy McGrady in China? - For my real basketball fans that are my age and reminiscent of the late 90s early 2000s we all remember T-Mac and Vinsanity on the Raptors together and we all remember the greatest slam dunk contest performance ever.6
Both of those things mentioned were freaking awesome. As some of you may know, Tracy McGrady is on his way to playing in China this year and with Carter's game declining rapidly, it seems like it's only a matter of time before he joins his cousin overseas. China is a basketball haven for high-volume scorers that do not play defense and it won't shock me if T-Mac puts up 40 a game over there and I can't wait till he and VC are doing it together in China possibly next year. It would be sweet to bring back the good old days. 

Season Prediction: (40-42)



9. Milwaukee Bucks

Projected Starting 5: Brandon Jennings (PG), Monta Ellis (SG), Mike Dunleavy (SF), Ersan Ilyasova (PF), Samuel Dalembert (C)

Overview: Sorry Milwaukee! I had to do it to you guys again. You're good and going to be better this year, but still not good enough to make the playoffs, sorry. The make-up of the Bucks this year really perplexes me because on paper they look like they're going to be a very very good team defensively (Dalembert, Udoh, Drew Gooden, John Henson, Joel Pryzbilla, Mbah a Moute, Marquis Daniels) but there is this problem that will affect their style of play which leads to this...  


Player(s) to Watch: Monta Ellis & Brandon Jennings - I know this one is a cop out, but come on! Who else is there to enjoy on this team other than the Mississippi Missile and Gumby?? Mike Dunleavy? Ersan Ilyasova? Besides both these guys are high-volume shooters, and they're super fast with awesome ball handling and they're fun to watch! They're going to get a ton of buckets! Oh wait... that is where the problem lies. Their coach is Scott Skiles the ultimate boring, grind it out, defensive-driven coach and the make-up of the team besides its two best players caters towards that style. It's going to be great when Monta or BJ jack up a contested three within 10 seconds of a possession while allowing a fastbreak score after the miss and Scott Skiles can do nothing but play both these guys because they're his two best players and his only offense besides Ersan Ilyasova and an erratic Mike D. This team is going to be just wonderful.
   
Things That Intrigue Me: Where Did the Greatest High School Mixtape of All-Time in My Opinion Go?? - Please friends if you can find the high school mixtape of Brandon Jennings's 2006-2007 high school season at Oak Hill Academy courtesy of the good folks of Hoopmixtape I believe, I will love you forever. I can't find it. I don't know where it went but I miss it. It is a timeless classic. It will make you think you can dunk and break people's ankles even if you are a 5'9 Chinese boy that can only dribble right. Josh where did it go?? :(

Season Prediction:(41-41)


Back with the rest of the East tomorrow or Friday. Thanks for reading. 

    
Footnotes   
1 I like Moe Harkless but he’s a project and there are some expectations for Andrew Nicholson but still nothing great to look forward to. 
2 Orlando has a brand new stadium and is actually not a bad place to play so why wouldn’t Stern want to help this team out after they were robbed in the Howard trade. arena 
3 The last and only time the Bobcats made the playoffs, their two best players were Gerald Wallace and Stephen Jackson and you think that was a well-assembled team? Michael Jordan is the GOAT as a player but as an executive/owner/GM, he is atrocious. gifts 
4 I really wanted the Cavs to be the team. Kyrie and Kidd-Gilchrist would have been very fun to watch. 
5 I couldn’t believe it when he resigned last year instead of going to a contender, and I still don’t know how the Pistons have not traded him when they have three other serviceable small forwards (Maggette, Jerebko, Daye) and a fourth! Kyle Singler. 
6 Jordan, Dominique, etc. do not count because I’m a 90s baby and didn't witness it live, sorry J-Rich.