Wednesday, April 25, 2012

Notes: NL West



San Francisco Giants – They started off the season by getting swept by the Diamondbacks and now they have gone 9-5 and have won every series. The biggest difference this year is the offense. They have scored 3 runs or less only 3 times this year. Like I said in my preview, the offense has made a big improvement with Pablo Sandoval and Buster Posey playing like all-stars. The biggest concern of the young season is Tim Lincecum. Not only has his velocity gone down, but it looks like he can not control his fastball. Lincecum has also said he is scrapping his slider which might cause concerns about his elbow. But Lincecum is a smart pitcher and he is known to reinvent himself and will be able to turn it around. Matt Cain and Madison Bumgarner are pitching wonderfully after signing big extensions. Barry Zito has been a great surprise this year. Brian Wilson has been lost for the year, but I don't think this will affect the Giants as much as losing Andrew Bailey for the Red Sox. Santiago Casilla will get the first shot at save opportunities. But Bochy can plug in Casilla or Sergio Romo on any given night.

The most frustrating thing to watch is how they are handling Brandon Belt. As I said in my Preview, they were setting him up to fail. Belt got off to a slow start and now he rarely gets to play. There have been talks in the Giants front office that they think Belt is a bust. If that is the case why not trade him? Or send him down to the minors so that he can get some consistent playing time and if they still don't think he can play in the big leagues, he is at least improving his trade value. The Phillies are doing something similar with Dominic Brown, he is in the minors hitting .350 but he still can not play defense to save his life. Even if the Phillies don't want him, he is increasing his trade value for other teams to take a chance on. I believe Belt can be a very good player, he just needs the opportunity. If the Giants don't see it that way, at least get something for him and not just let him rot on the bench.

Arizona Diamondbacks – The Diamondbacks are a .500 team right now and I don't think this the best they can play. Justin Upton and Paul Goldschmidt is off to a slow start. Chris Young is off to a scorching hot start, but now he is on the DL. Stephen Drew has yet to take the field this season yet either. As the season progresses I see this line-up going back to being one of the best run scoring line-ups in the national league. The area this team can upgrade on is the starting pitching. Daniel Hudson has gotten off to a slow start, but it seems that he is hurt, so hopefully his DL stint and can help him get it together. Josh Collmenter is just not good. He had decent success last season mainly because of his funky delivery, but now that hitters are seeing more of him, he is getting rocked. Trevor Bauer is tearing up AA ball right now, 4-0 with a 0.40 ERA 28k in 22 innings. The biggest argument to Bauer is that he walks too many batters right now, but even though he walks batters he will make bats miss and he will give you better results than Collmenter or even Joe Saunders – I don't see him keeping up his 1.93 ERA.



Los Angeles Dodgers – This team is off to a fantastic start, but I'm not jumping on their bandwagon just yet. 13 of their first 16 games were against the Padres, Pirates, and Astros and the one series they played against a good team (Brewers) they lost the series. They do have the best player on the planet in Matt Kemp and arguably the best pitcher in the league in Clayton Kershaw. They have a line-up with Juan Rivera and Juan Uribe as everyday players and that doesn't bode well for any team. Dee Gordon is an intriguing player, if he gets on base he can cause havoc, but he needs to get on base first and he strikes out way too many times.  They have a rotation that features Aaron Harang and Chris Capuano behind Kershaw, with nothing else. I don't see this team keeping up the way they are playing and I want to see them play against the better teams before I say they are legit. They will come back down to earth and win 80 games at best.


Colorado Rockies – The Rockies have started off the season 9-8. Playing in Coors Field and having a line-up anchored by Troy Tulowitzki and Carlos Gonzalez, I think they are a .500 team at BEST. Michael Cuddyer is having a good start, but Todd Helton are off to slow starts, which leads one to wonder how much does he have left in the tank. But with role players such as Chris Nelson and Marco Scutaro filling out the line-up, I don't see them winning more than 75 games. Their best pitcher right now is 49 year old Jamie Moyer with a 2.28 ERA. This team just does not have the pitching to compete. Drew Pomeranz has the highest ceiling out of all their pitchers and I see him as a legit 1 or 2 starter, but behind him I don't see anyone on this pitching staff who will be higher than a #5 starter on any other team.

San Diego Padres – The Padres are in no position to compete this year. Chase Headley is quietly having a very good start to the season and they still have one of the best defensive middle infield in Jason Bartlett and Orlando Hudson. And they have made some great moves for the future however. They sent their ace Matt Latos to the Cincinnati Red for two great young prospects in Yonder Alonso and Yasmani Grandal, and Edison Volquez. They also sent a couple minor leaguers for Carlos Quentin. They have a promising young rotation that features Tim Stauffer and Cory Luebke. Also Anthony Bass and Joe Weiland are two very good young pitchers to keep an eye on. This team is not competing for anything this year, but they have some interesting young pieces for the future.